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Fusion Analysis: four lenses, one view

No single method explains markets. We weigh four independent lenses, and act only where they agree and the risk is understood.

The four lenses

Each lens is researched on its own terms, then combined. Disagreement between lenses is information, not noise.

Quantitative

Statistical and factor models measure exposure, correlation and market regime. Machine-learning methods help test whether a pattern is robust or an artefact of the sample. Rules are tested out of sample before they are used in a strategy.

  • Factor models
  • Correlation
  • Regime detection
  • ML-assisted testing

Technical

Trend, momentum and market structure describe how prices behave across timeframes. We use them to judge timing and to set invalidation levels before entry, never as the only reason to act.

  • Trend
  • Momentum
  • Market structure
  • Volatility

Fundamental

Earnings quality, balance sheets, valuation and the macro backdrop tell us whether a view has a foundation beyond price. For commodities and currencies, this means supply, demand and policy.

  • Earnings quality
  • Valuation
  • Macro
  • Rates and currency

Behavioural

Positioning and sentiment show where participants are crowded. Options open interest by strike, put-call positioning and volatility skew reveal where capital is committed.

  • Options OI
  • Put-call positioning
  • Sentiment
  • Crowding

How the lenses come together

Each lens produces its own reading. We combine them into one view, then check it against the market regime and portfolio risk limits.

Illustrative. The board shows how our research is organised. Its values are synthetic and are not market data or trading signals.

Fusion Analysis board Illustrative
Composite signal vs. regime bandsynthetic
T-60T-30T
CompositeLong-run mean
  • Lenses agreeing3 of 4
  • HorizonMedium
  • CorrelationLow
Lens agreement
  • Quantitative 4/5
  • Technical 3/5
  • Fundamental 3/5
  • Behavioural 2/5
RegimeRange-bound
VolatilityModerate
Risk checkWithin limits
Illustrative. Synthetic values, not market data.

From research to execution

The same sequence applies to every view we form.

  1. 1

    Observe

    Each lens is updated independently on current data.

  2. 2

    Combine

    Signals are weighed for agreement and for conflict.

  3. 3

    Constrain

    Risk limits, correlation and your profile set the boundaries.

  4. 4

    Execute

    Rules run systematically, with reasoning and invalidation points recorded.

Risk is defined before the view

A view without a risk plan is incomplete. We decide how much can be lost, and when a view is wrong, before we decide what to do.

  • Position sizing
    Sized to portfolio risk limits and the volatility of the instrument.
  • Invalidation levels
    The conditions that would make a view wrong are written down in advance.
  • Correlation checks
    New positions are reviewed against existing exposure.
  • Defined-risk structures
    In options, preference for structures where the maximum loss is known.

No method removes risk. Fusion Analysis is a way of reaching better-reasoned decisions. It does not promise or imply any return.

Questions about Fusion Analysis?

Talk to the team about our research process, strategies or collaborations.